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HW10 Solutions

7.4

  1. 25.9 1.96*2.7/sqrt(90) =
    25.9 0.56 =
    (25.34, 26.46)
     
  2. 25.9 1.645*2.7/sqrt(90) =
    25.9 0.47=
    (25.43, 26.37)
     
  3. 25.9 2.576*2.7/sqrt(90) =
    25.9 0.73=
    (25.17, 26.63)

7.6

  1. 28 1.96*sqrt(12)/sqrt(75) =
    28 0.78
    (27.22, 28.78)
     
  2. 102 1.96*sqrt(22)/sqrt(200) =
    102 0.65
    (101.35, 102.65)
     
  3. 15 1.96*0.3/sqrt(100) =
    15 0.06
    (14.94, 15.06)
     
  4. 4.05 1.96*0.83/sqrt(100) =
    4.05 0.16
    (3.89, 4.21)
     
  5. No. For large sample sizes it does not matter what distribution the parent population has, the Central Limit Theorem tells us that the sampling distribution will be normal regardless.

7.21

  1. If the parent population is normally distributed then the sampling distribution of will be the normal distribution regardless of sample size.
     
  2. If we don't know the distribution of the parent population then we don't know what the sampling distribution of would be when the sample size is small. However, if the sample size is large then the Central Limit Theorem tells us that the sampling distribution of will be the normal distribution regardless of the parent population's distribution. 

7.22

  1. t = 1.440; z = 1.282
  2. t = 1.943; z = 1.645
  3. t = 2.447; z = 1.96
  4. t = 3.143; z = 2.326
  5. t = 3.707; z = 2.576

7.26 (the sample mean is 98 and the sample variance is 160 and n=16)
 

  1. 98 1.341*sqrt(160)/sqrt(16) =
    98 4.24
    (93.76, 102.24)
     
  2. 98 2.131*sqrt(160)/sqrt(16) =
    98 6.74
    (91.26, 104.74)

    The 95% confidence interval is wider.
     
  3. I am 80% confident that the population mean is between 93.76 and 102.24 and I'm 95% confident that the population means is between 91.26 and 104.74. By "confident" I mean that if I were to take repeated random samples from the population and calculate confidence intervals from each sample then 80% of 80% CIs and 95% of 95% CIs would actually contain the population mean.
     
    The 95% CI is wider than the 80% CI because I'm more confident that the population mean would be in a larger set of numbers than in a smaller set. The smaller the set of numbers (or the width of the interval) the higher the chance that the population mean is not in the interval and so the lower the confidence level.

7.35

When n is large the central limit theorem tells us that is normally distributed because is a special form of . The sampling distribution of is p and the variance of the sampling distribution is p(1 - p)/n.

7.36

is an unbiased estimator of p because the mean of the sampling distribution of p () equals p.

7.38

  1. I shouldn't have assigned this problem and I won't grade it. Sorry.
     
  2. 0.76 1.645*sqrt[0.76*(1 - 0.76) /144]
    0.76 0.059
    (0.701, 0.819)
     
  3. We only need to assume that the sample size is large enough for the Central Limit Theorem to hold and that the sample was randomly selelcted.

Also answer the following questions:
 

  1. Suppose you took a random sample of 500 people and you asked if they have filled out their census form yet. is the proportion of the sample that said yes, they filled out the form. If 80% of the population have actually filled out the census (meaning p = 0.8) the what is the probability P(0.75 <  < 0.85)? (Remember that the Central Limit Theorem tells us that is normally distributed with mean p and variance p(1-p)/n for large n.)
     
    Answer:
     
    P(0.75 <  < 0.85) =
    P{(0.75 - 0.8)/sqrt[0.8*(1-0.8)/500] < Z < (0.85 - 0.8)/sqrt[0.8*(1-0.8)/500]} =
    P(-2.80 < Z < 2.80) =
    1 - 2*0.0026 =
    0.9948
     
  2. What is the difference between a sample standard deviation and a sample standard error? What do they estimate?
     
    Answer: 
     
    The sample standard deviation is used to estimate the variability of the parent population. The sample standard error is used to estimate the variability of the sampling distribution.
 

E-mail Mr. Callahan at stat110@edcallahan.com with questions or comments about this web site or about the class itself.

This page was last modified on April 26, 2000.