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Exam III

1. (5 points) Define "Sampling Distribution".

The pdf of a sample statistic.

2. (5 points) Define "power" of a statistical hypothesis test.

The probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false.

3. (5 points) The sample median (m) is an unbiased estimator of the population mean (m) when the sampled population (the parent population) is symmetric. What does the phrase "the sample median is an unbiased estimator of the population mean" mean?

The mean of the sampling distribution of the sample median is the population mean (mean of the parent population).

4. (5 points) State the Central Limit Theorem.

For large enough n, xbar.gif (869 bytes) is approximately normally distributed with mean mu.gif (877 bytes) and standard deviation popse.gif (407 bytes) when the sample was collected randomly from any population with mean mu.gif (877 bytes) and standard deviation sigma.gif (870 bytes)

5. (5 points) What is the difference between the sample standard deviation and the sample standard error? What does each estimate?

The sample standard deviation is used to estimate the variability of the parent population. The sample standard error is used to estimate the variability of the sampling distribution.

6. (10 points) What is the difference between Type I and Type II errors in hypothesis testing? How do and relate to Type I and Type II errors?

Type I errors are when you reject the null falsely (meaning that you reject the null when it is true). Type II errors are when you fail to reject the null when it is true. is the probability of a Type I error and is the probability of a Type II error.


7. (10 points) Find P(7.6    8.8) when mu.gif (877 bytes) = 10, s2 = 36 and n = 25.


P(7.6    8.8) =
P[(7.6 - 10)/sqrt(36/25)  z  (8.8 - 10)/sqrt(36/25)] =
P(-2  z  -1) =
0.1587 - 0.0228 =
0.1359

8. (10 points) Find P( > 0.55) when p = 0.5 and n=500.

P( > 0.55) =
P{z > (0.55 - 0.5)/sqrt[0.5*(1-0.5)/500]} =
P(z > 2.24) =
0.0125

9. A random sample of 16 subjects resulted in a sample mean of  98 and sample standard variance of s2 = 160.

a. (10 points) Find a 95% confidence interval for the population mean (m) based on this data.

98 2.131*sqrt(160)/sqrt(16) =
98 6.74
(91.26, 104.74)

b. (5 points) When we interpret what a confidence interval is we say that "We are 95% confident that the population mean falls within the confidence interval. Fill in the blanks (two words).

c. (5 points) What do we mean by the phrase "95% confident" in the above interpretation?

If we were to take lots of random samples from the population and calculated a 95% confidence interval from each, then 95% of them would include the population mean in that interval

10. (10 points) In the Lovastatin study the treatment group had a mean reduction in cholesterol levels of -20% where s2 = 260 and n = 65. Calculate a 90% confidence interval for m, the population mean reduction of cholesterol levels.

-20 1.645*sqrt(260)/sqrt(65) =
-20 3.29
(-23.29, -16.71)

11. Mark each of the following statements as True or False by circling the correct answer. Justify your answer on the back of the page if you feel you need to. (3 points each)

a. If you increase alpha then beta will automatically decrease. True

b. If you increase the sample size then alpha will automatically decrease. False

c. If you increase the sample size then Power of the hypothesis test will automatically increase. True

d. When the confidence level of a confidence interval is increase the width of the confidence interval will decrease. False

e. When sample size increases the width of a confidence interval will tend to increase. False

12. (10 points) The sampling distribution of is the normal distribution (as long as it's from a random sample) when: (circle all that apply)

a. The parent population is normal and the sample is "large"

b. The parent population is not normal and the sample is "large"

c. The parent population is normal and the sample is "small"

d. The parent population is not normal and the sample is "small"

e. The sampling distribution is always normal

Answers: a, b and c

 

 

 

 

E-mail Mr. Callahan at stat110@edcallahan.com with questions or comments about this web site or about the class itself.

This page was last modified on May 12, 2000.